Catching Up in Shadowlands

 While I got my Paladin to 60 asap and my Death Knight followed shortly after - and both of them are rocking at the point probably over half mythic dungeon gear, eager to hit Castle Nathria when LFR starts next week - I've been taking longer on my other alts. Normally, I'd make sure my Demon Hunter, then my Horde Shaman and Rogue, would be the next up, but I wanted to take characters who I was confident would go into the covenants I haven't done yet, so I took the Mage and the Warlock next - Paladin going Kyrian, Death Knight Venthyr, Mage Night Fae, and Warlock Necrolords.

The Warlock is one or two quest chains into Ardenweald, sitting at 57 (likely to hit 58 well before the point where you have to be to progress in the main campaign) while the Mage is at 60, and I've thus had my first experiences of the catch-up mechanics for Renown.

Running in to do the world boss Mortanis (funny story, my Warlock's name is Morcanis) I got a Renown, and then another from a Calling, another from the intro "save 5 souls from the Maw" and then the weekly version of it. I'm at 6 renown now, still needing to do the 1000 anima weekly quest, and I think (if my math isn't off - it feels like there might be a missing one in there) I could be caught up if I dedicated myself to doing so by next Tuesday.

This is pretty heartening. Granted, there's not a ton of stuff to catch up on, Renown-wise, but I imagine that if you hit 60 on a new character several months into the expansion, you're going to be getting bombarded with Renown so that you can get up to speed without too much pain.

Also, as the first character who can actually make rune vessel pieces (the Mage is a Jewelcrafter) I finally got the quest where such recipes are unlocked - it's just the normal "unlock legendaries" quest chain, but with a special addition for, I assume, jewelcrafters, leatherworkers, tailors, and blacksmiths (guess my awesome goggles aren't good enough for your runes, Runecarver?) You still need 100 in your given profession to unlock them, so while the Warlock will be ready to make cloth pieces as soon as he gets that quest, the Jewelcrafter is just 8 skill points away (though I think I have the Solenium he'd need on my main.)

This does make me a little more eager to level my Warrior, as he's my Blacksmith, though I suppose I could spend some of the massive amounts of gold that my callings are earning me. (Also, I sold some Missives made by the Death Knight and got an obscene amount for them.)

So, the Warlock is working on Ardenweald (the Warlock Night Fae ability once again feels tailored for Affliction, like the Kyrian one, though I'm sure it's good - just not as tied into the rest of the spec as the Necrolord one, which makes me feel I'll be happy going with that.) Meanwhile, my Demon Hunter has made it through Bastion, and boy had I forgotten how fun Havoc is. Indeed, the Kyrian Demon Hunter ability is actually pretty potent (and devastating in AoE) even if it's a tad non-interactive - it feels much better for Vengeance, given its massive generation of Soul Shards. Given what I've read in Icy-Veins and such, I believe I'll be going Venthyr on him, which also fits RP-wise (to be honest, I think as a relentless demon-fighter, he might fit more personality-wise with the Necrolords, but unless there's a totally different ability from the Beta, I don't think the Demon Hunter ability is one I'll want to take, and Fleshcrafting is my least favorite signature ability of all the covenants - especially for a melee class.)

I'm glad to see that most profession seem simple enough to level. I managed to get my Warlock's tailoring to 100 purely on the cloth he'd gotten from my other characters. While I don't necessarily want every profession to need to do a million rep grinds to be able to make anything useful, I also think that a skill grind isn't too fun either. Being able to get most of the way to the skill cap while leveling seems fair. I'm hoping Blacksmithing is comparable to the other professions in this regard - it's always seemed like they've made it harder than other professions to skill up. But the Warrior is on the back burner - probably in line behind the Warlock, Demon Hunter, Shaman, and Rogue in my leveling plan.

Anyway, the expansion is still fun! I'm eager to check out Castle Nathria next week, and I'm very happy to know that I've got a new computer coming in January - my current one was new in the first weeks of Warlords of Draenor, and is starting to show its age - Ardenweald in particular forces me to set my graphics to low settings.

Why I'm Avoiding Threads of Fate

 For the first time since Warlords of Draenor, the leveling process in Shadowlands is a linear one - taking you from Bastion to Maldraxxus to Ardenweald to Revendreth, with a couple of side-trips to the Maw sprinkled in. To experience the story of the expansion's first chapters, you do these in order, and there's really not much in the way of branching (in Maldraxxus you can choose the order in which you do its three "Act Two" quest chains, but for the most part it's a strictly linear experience).

There are benefits to this: the narrative ties the zones together. For example, the attack on the Temple of Courage and the resultant Necrotic Wake dungeon lead directly into the events of Maldraxxus - and then the message left by the Primus sends you to Ardenweald and then Revendreth.

In the past two expansions, instead we've typically arrived at a hub and then been told about the various crisis locations (aka leveling zones) to pick from.

However, once you get through the experience once, all your alts then get an option - after you get through the Maw intro (which is not insignificant - it takes you nearly all the way to 51) - to choose the "Threads of Fate" option instead of replaying the campaign. Doing this allows you to choose your covenant immediately and then start working on it while you level through side quests, world quests, and any content that isn't just the main storyline.

Indeed, the quests for that main storyline are unavailable if you choose this option.

I have not chosen this option on any characters. You can do so any time you're still working on the main campaign, but you can't go back.

I'm also given to understand that leveling is slower - while it makes sense that the vast number of quests you do over the course of the main story campaign would be a huge chunk of experience all in all, I suppose that the alternate sources of XP, such as world quests, don't make up for it.

The real problem that I'd have with the system is that leveling through the campaign gives you plenty of time to try out the various covenant abilities. While Soulbinds and their features are sure to be an important factor to consider moving forward, getting a feel for those abilities seems really important. I've now taken my Warlock through Maldraxxus, and was happy to find that the Necrolord ability for them (Decimating Bolt) is easy enough to work into a rotation and decently fun to use.

(Sidenote: it's freaky to me how many of the classes I play have Venthyr as their recommended covenant. I've leveled up the Mage and the Warlock so that I can check out the Night Fae and Necrolords, respectively - though even that required a little bit of creative reading of Icy-Veins; they actually recommend Night Fae for Demonology; actually, there's a whole post to be written about the trickiness of reconciling character vibe with covenant. Point is, I want to get my Warlock leveled in part so that I can get my Demon Hunter next, who will share Venthyr with my Death Knight.)

You can change covenants - something I wonder if I'll feel compelled to do later in the expansion on any of my characters - but I'd prefer to make the right choice now. While you do get a chance to try out all of the abilities in the Enclave in Oribos before making your decision, getting a full (or at least most of a) zone to try them out first seems preferable.

Alts in Shadowlands

 We're now over two weeks into the expansion, and I only have two max-level characters.

I don't recall precisely when I got various characters up in previous expansions, but it's pretty clear to me that there's so much to do on each character that I've got my hands mostly full with just the Paladin and Death Knight. In a break with tradition (largely based on which covenants I'm intending for them to join - trying to cover all four before I do repeats) my Mage is next in line, to be followed by my Warlock - after which I'll get my Demon Hunter, Shaman, and Rogue.

The massive amount of content is welcome, though - WoW thrives when there's a lot to do. The real question, though, is what, of this content, will feel particularly important.

My daily routine on my main, the Paladin, is this:

Make sure I do my Anima Conduit.

Go to the Maw and do my dailies for Ve'nari.

Try to run a Mythic Dungeon or two (I'm not really in a place guild-wise where we're anywhere close to hitting Castle Nathria, so I'll be seeing it for the first time in LFR.)

Do the Calling for the day.

Weekly, add in:

Torghast (clearing both wings at the highest layer I can - I've actually found layer 4, the current max, to be perfectly doable in a tank spec with a healthy selection of Mythic dungeon gear).

Any Renown-based stuff (anima collection and souls in the Maw)

The two weekly dungeon quests.

And if I have time, doing some of my Covenant mini-game (though that's been very back-burner.)

And the World Boss now.

So doing that on two characters is quite a lot.

I think over time we'll start to get a sense of which of these are really important to do if you want a character to be "caught up" and which you can let slide. I'm also really curious to see what kind of catch-up mechanics they'll have.

I know that Renown can drop in Calling boxes and from dungeons if you're behind the curve, but when it comes to stuff like anima, especially looking at how much the higher-level version of your various covenant sanctum bonuses cost, I do wonder if we'll see some sort of inflation of anima rewards (I might imagine that world quests and such start dropping more of the anima-items.)

Anyway, it's only two weeks into an expansion that should last us two years, but there is my usual altoholic (see name of blog) impulse to feel like some of my characters are missing out.

Once I get my Mage to 60 (he's a little into Ardenweald and is at 56) I'll start to get a sense of what sort of catch-up mechanics there are. For now, he's gotten to that point in leveling where the deprecation of secondary stats has really started to hit him - his Ice Lances are far from guaranteed to crit even with Fingers of Frost.

One other thing I've been thinking about is upgrading legendary items. I actually did craft a legendary belt for my Paladin (the effect that makes Avenger's Shield sometimes not have a cooldown, which seems to often chain several times in a row, which is excellent) but it seems as if, should I drop a few tens of thousands of gold on the AH (not as much as that used to seem, given that I'm making about 2k a day from Callings) I could, in theory, push that belt from 190 to 225 item level. I have not yet made one for my Death Knight, especially because I don't really know if he's going to be maining Blood or 2H Frost this go around (while I'm overjoyed to see that 2HF is back, it's also about 1000% easier to get a mythic dungeon group if you're a tank, and I do enjoy Blood as a spec, even if it was a little scary the first few mythics, as Blood needs a bit of ramp up time to get its defensive stuff going and that made those first pulls pretty nerve-wracking.)

Still, I sometimes feel as if my Demon Hunter is looking very sad to be waiting in Stormwind while alts he was ahead of in the priority in most situations get to start earlier, all because he wants to go Venthyr and the DK got there first (my Rogue is also probably going that way). My Mage is likely going Night Fae (I just got the ability, which is... weirder than I expected, but could be good) and my Warlock is probably going Necrolords (I actually don't know what the ability is, but if it's fun to use, I'll feel very good having the 'Lock go with the jock-bros of the Shadowlands.)

Still, that seems far on the horizon. I don't think my Mage or Warlock will be prioritized quite as much as the Paladin and DK were (I've always thought of them as kind of Main and Vice Main) which might make it a bit easier to spare some time to work on the other alts. Still, I want to keep up with renown so that I can see the stories in each of the covenants. I just hope that I'll also be able to keep them geared enough to do the content the covenant stories entail.

Crafter's Marks, Callings, and a Need for Deterministic Rewards

 By this point, it's actually been a long time since we had such a system, but back in the day, there was something called Badge gear.

In Burning Crusade, vendors were introduced who would sell high-quality gear for a currency called Badges of Justice. You could get these badges by beating Heroic Dungeon bosses (Heroics in BC were considered quite difficult, at least by those days' standards.) New gear was introduced to these vendors with the release of new raids like Zul'Aman and Sunwell Plateau, and so players were incentivized to keep running heroic dungeons in order to earn the badges to purchase that gear. Later, they made it so that raid bosses would drop these badges (2 at a time for every raid beyond Karazhan, the intro raid).

In Wrath of the Lich King, they introduced new Emblems which served a similar purpose. However, Emblems came in various varieties. Emblems of Heroism would drop in Heroic dungeons and the easier 10-player version of Naxxramas, Eye of Eternity, and Obsidian Sanctum, while Emblems of Valor would drop in the 25-player versions.

When Ulduar was introduced in 3.1, the 10-player version gave Emblems of Valor while the 25-player one gave Emblems of Conquest. Then, in 3.2, with the introduction of Trial of the Crusade, the system got streamlined - now, every bit of old content that could drop Emblems would give Emblems of Conquest, and the new Heroic mode of raiding for Trial of the Crusader gave Emblems of Triumph (I'll be honest, I might have some of this wrong - effectively there were three raid difficulties at that point, because 10-player heroic was seen as equivalent to 25-player normal.) Finally, when 3.3 brought Icecrown Citadel, the final Emblem was introduced - Emblem of Frost - which was used to purchase, among other things, the tier 10 raid set (Triumph had also been the way you got tier 9.)

In Cataclysm, they came up with a much more elegant system for this - "Old Content" would give a currency called Justice Points, which could be spent on any of the older gear (there was also some initial Justice Point gear you could get when you were starting heroics) while Valor Points were introduced as the always-cutting-edge currency - something you could acquire a limited amount of per week, but which you could get from doing both raids and random heroic dungeons.

And while Cataclysm was sort of the first disappointment of an expansion (other than heroics or raiding, there was practically nothing to do at the level cap - though I still think the old-world revamp was a great change, even though what had been an update after 6 years is now 10 years old) I think this system was really great.

But Blizzard has moved farther and farther away from deterministic gearing. To define the term: deterministic gearing is the idea that if you complete the content you intend to, kill the raid bosses or clear the dungeons that you need to, you will be guaranteed after a certain number of successes to get the piece you're aiming for. Random drops are not deterministic - you can run a dungeon over and over and just get unlucky and never get the thing you want.

I think there's an argument for random drops - it makes it more exciting when you kill something to see if this time you'll get the thing. And I think that's been Blizzard's argument in favor of it. (The cynical view could be that they figure this will make content last longer and thus get people to stay subscribed longer, but I'll be honest, I don't really believe that - I think Blizzard understands that what gets people to keep playing is that the game is fun, and if I ever find myself with everything I want on a main character while I'm still enjoying myself, I'll just play one of my million alts.)

But we never lost those random drops when we had a currency-based deterministic system. And given that these systems generally require well over a single dungeon run to get loot equivalent to what might drop in it, the big benefit to a currency system is that no run feels wasted. These days, if I take a character through a mythic dungeon and I don't get a single piece of gear, it feels like my time was wasted and in fact, I've lost opportunity given the weekly lockout. But if I were also getting a Badge of Justice off of each of those bosses, and that for 15 of those I could get a decent trinket, helmet, or even a weapon to fill in that last bit of questing gear I still have, I'd feel much better about having succeeded in that dungeon run.

So, I do think that we need to bring back a system like we had in Wrath and Cataclysm (Mists of Pandaria also had Valor gear, but it was locked behind reputations that could only be attained after months of daily quests, which was a major pain.) This is especially true given that Callings are not nearly as useful for gearing as Emissaries were in Legion and BFA. Indeed, even world quests themselves seem to be far less gear-oriented in terms of rewards.

Furthermore, I've talked before about Crafter's Marks. In theory, these are a fantastic system that allows any professional recipe to continue to be relevant as long as new Crafter's Marks are made available. The problem right now is that the absolute pinnacle of Crafter's Marks are A: only enough to raise the piece's item level to 161 - which is 10 points below heroic dungeon gear - and B: locked behind a reputation that will likely take a few more weeks for anyone to get to the level needed to attain it. (Don't get me wrong, I love Ve'nari and think that making that rep grind a slow one is fine.)

Crafting gear is supposed to be the original deterministic gear acquisition method. But it's always been hamstrung I think a bit by Blizzard worrying that it'll be too pay-to-win (especially given that they resorted in Warlords to selling gold - kind of the video game economy version of parents letting their kids smoke pot as long as they only do so safe at home.) And I think that's fair - WoW would be in terrible shape if they had to balance around people just buying player power, and I think they've been very wise in avoiding some of the pitfalls of F2P MMOs.

The ecstasy and the agony of random loot drops is something we've always had in WoW, and I don't think we'll ever lose it entirely. But I do feel that giving players a sense that their time isn't totally wasted if they don't get the loot they want out of an instance is a really great way to make the game feel better.

First Ones, Eternals, and the Shadowlands' Ties to the Material World

 When Warcraft: Chronicle came out, they mentioned the Shadowlands only briefly, basically showing up in their cosmic chart opposite the Emerald Dream just outside of "Reality."

Death, as a primal force, occupied one of the six major spots on the outside of the chart. I don't know whether the existence of the Light and the Void as the top and bottom of that chart are meant to be more significant than Order, Disorder, Life, and Death, but it does seem that Death has its own realm of existence in the Shadowlands.

As a D&D fan (albeit a relatively recent one - though I guess it's now been five years) this immediately recalled their planes of the Feywild and the Shadowfell. The former is your classic Faerie Otherworld, home to beautiful but treacherous archfey (who aren't so much good or evil as... playing with a different set of rules) as well as a lot of mischievous tricksters who might not appreciate how mortal you are. The Shadowfell is a dreary and dark realm where emotions and color are sapped, and the undead are very common - tending toward a sort of gothic horror reality without necessarily being inherently evil.

Cosmologically, though, the Shadowlands in WoW are closer to the Outer Planes. These are realms that are sort of physical manifestations of the game's iconic alignments (Lawful Good, Chaotic Neutral, Chaotic Evil, etc.) As sort of conceptual realms, the Outer Planes are home to most gods in its cosmos, and are also where the souls of the dead go when they die.

In fact, there's a whole campaign setting that takes place entirely within those outer planes called Planescape - where humanoids are categorized as "Planar" meaning that they're originally from the Outer Planes, "Petitioner" meaning they're the soul of a person who died and has been reborn in the Outer Planes to go to their afterlife, or "Prime" meaning someone from the Prime Material Plane who has traveled to the Outer Planes while still alive (and are treated like the dumb hicks of the multiverse by most Planars.)

What's interesting is that, given that most of the mortal souls that travel to the Shadowlands on death stay there (even if someone like Draka gets assignments that take her elsewhere) in many ways, the leaders of each realm there are arguably the really important gods of the Warcraft cosmos. You spend one lifetime in the Material World, but the rest of eternity in the Shadowlands.

But up until this point, the closest we've gotten to a true pantheon of deities was the Titans. Indeed, we've literally referred to the Titans as the Pantheon.

But the Eternals - the leaders of the various realms of the Shadowlands - are also, at one point, called a pantheon.

There are parallels between the Eternals and the Titans, perhaps most notably in the traitor amongst them.

Sargeras had been the paragon of the Titans, but when faced with the horror of the void, he went down a path of madness. When he rebelled, he struck down his fellow Titans, and it was unknown eons before the rest of the Pantheon was restored, and able to trap Sargeras within their Olympus-like Seat.

In the case of Zovaal, though, it looks as if his initial rebellion was a failure, leaving him trapped int he Maw.

We don't have any real idea of whether the Eternals are on the same level of power as the Titans. My suspicion is that they're meant to be of roughly equivalent power, though the Eternals are masters of the Shadowlands, while the Titans are powers either of "Reality" (i.e. the material plane) or some as-yet-undiscovered realm of the Arcane, as we're told that they are beings of Order, whose signature magic is Arcane.

One thing that also intrigues me is that we hear mentions of the First Ones in Shadowlands. Are the First Ones just another name for the Eternals? Or was there some group of creators who built the Shadowlands? If these were the Titans, that would seem to put them a step up from the Eternals.

Indeed, I'll be honest, I'm a little sad that we only got to see the Titans briefly in Legion. Built up through all of WoW's lifespan, we ultimately only got to see several of them sitting in chairs during the final boss fight. I still don't really know the difference between Norgannon, Golganneth, and Khaz'goroth.

I know that a lot of the stuff we're getting in the Shadowlands is just new lore - though at the same time, it's using elements that were introduced long ago. The fact that Mueh'zalla turns out to have been behind a lot of bad stuff that's been happening is pretty interesting, given that we've had that name since Zul'farrak. I also like how they managed to imply that the Val'kyr are a weirdly bastardized version of the Kyrians, which also manages to draw a connection between a Norse mythological being and a Greek word associated with Christianity.

Of course, if we're talking Gods, there's none more mysterious than Elune, who seems to be tied into a lot of things in Shadowlands, but also defies categorization, with deep connections to the Titans (Tears of Elune, Eonar found on "Elunaria") the Wild Gods (Cenarius is her son) and the Naaru (Khadgar claims a book in Karazhan says that she created the Naaru). Now, we've also got the Winter Queen possibly referring to her as her "sister" (though I'll admit there are other candidates for whom she's referring to - though not a ton of them) and once again I find myself wondering what the hell Elune is.

While a lot of Shadowlands is adding brand new lore to the Warcraft cosmos, not only is it really interesting and cool lore, but I also suspect we're going to get some major reveals that will resonate even after we leave this realm behind.

Crafter's Marks and Missive Might Save Professions

 Professions, in WoW, were actually one of the first things that drew me to the game - the idea that I could craft my own gear was pretty cool. Of course, that was 14 years ago, and while I'll never let go of Engineering on my main (the best profession, obviously) in general, it's a game system that has struggled.

On one hand, they want it to be worthwhile, but on the other, they don't want to make the game a case of "who has enough gold to buy this on the Auction House" - especially given that they are, effectively, selling gold at this point.

Now, I'll confess that I'm not sure that the new systems fix this. But I do think that the actual appeal of crafted gear could be way better in Shadowlands, depending on how much they use Crafter's Marks in future patches.

Most professions (at least Engineering and Inscription, so I'd guess all the production ones) can make various ranks of Crafter's Marks with their own typical professional materials. When used as one of the optional ingredients in a recipe, this will change the item level (and required level).

Scribes can also create Missives, which can be applied to a piece of gear one is crafted as another optional ingredient to guarantee that a particular secondary stat will show up on it.

And as such, Blizzard doesn't actually need to add any new crafted recipes beyond new Crafter's Marks for the rest of the expansion.

Basically, item level and secondary stats are what defines a piece of gear these days (well, and armor type/slot). Item level tells you the amount of primary stats on it and its armor, and how much of its secondary stats you get. So if I can make, for example, some plate engineering goggles with Haste and Mastery, I'd be happy to keep making those at higher item levels because that'd give me all I want out of a helmet.

Rather than having to make tons of new items for every profession with each patch, they can just add a new Crafter's Mark recipe - one that will probably get harder to attain (maybe requiring some raiding) and perhaps some more difficult to acquire materials (perhaps that drop in said raid) to keep the gear locked behind the content. But it will make it much easier to make sure every profession's stuff gets updated.

I also like that it gives Inscription a key niche in the professional landscape - something they've lacked since Glyphs stopped being a major player-power mechanic.

Now, as of right now, the highest Crafter's Mark A: requires that you be at Cordial reputation with Ve'nari and B: only raises an item level to 161, which is only going to be useful if you don't have heroic dungeon gear.

I hope that we'll see this system expanded, as I think it's pretty elegant.

Pre-Raid Endgame and Systems on Top of Systems

 Ah, it's that odd part of the expansion where I'm not far behind the mythic raiders in terms of gearing. My Death Knight, who got to 60 in week one as well, is having absolutely rotten loot luck (of the four heroics I ran today on him, only one dropped a single piece of loot for him - thankfully the tank gave me a pair of boots - with top Frost stats - from Spires of Ascension, so it wasn't a total loss). The main paladin has had much better luck (so far) and now has a decent number of epics from Mythics, including a shield.

Hitting the level cap on your main often comes with a big blast of stuff to do, especially with the many systems they've been introducing in new expansions these past few years.

Shadowlands might take the cake for the most. Let's go through all the things you'll want to do to progress your character in terms of power and story.

Weekly:

Get your 1000 anima.

Get your 5 souls from the Maw.

Run as high up in the two open wings of Torghast as you can to maximize the Soul Ash you're getting.

Daily:

Do Maw content - as much as you can before your Eye of the Jailer level is too high to do so safely.

Do your Callings.

Farm up supplies for your covenant's special minigame. (Actually not sure if this is a weekly or daily thing).

Do your anima-conductor thing and go kill the rare or get the treasure.

Manage your adventure table (I mean - you don't have to).

Now, I'm sure that as the expansion goes on, some of these things will be more or less "completed," or we'll get to a point where we don't really need to work so diligently on them. For instance, once we've fully upgraded our covenant sanctums, and once we've finished our covenant campaigns, the weekly quests will probably be a lot less important.

I'm also really curious to see how things scale up. It's interesting to see that world quests often reward a stack of 2-4 of an item with 35 anima - rather than just a single item with 70-140. I wonder if the plan is that as the expansion goes on, we'll see quests and such giving us bigger stacks.

My roommate didn't finish his weekly 1000 anima quest in the first week, but he got a renown badge out of his calling quest, which suggests this will be a way to catch up if you fall behind. Clearly, given the way that soulbinds work, renown is going to be a major thing that every character's got to work on.

So, I believe that conduits drop for every spec, even if it's not your loot spec, which is why I've been getting retribution ones while tanking. I'm wondering if the same is true for the legendary "memories" needed to craft legendary items. Basically, my DK is 2H Frost (and yes, I went Venthyr even though that's apparently the "worst" choice for it, but A: it just seems right and B: it's actually one of the recommended ones for Blood (even if Kyrian seems to be ideal for both in single-target situations) and C: who knows how things will shift over time?

I do find myself wondering about which alt to level - normally my Demon Hunter would follow the DK, but he's also likely to go Venthyr (I tried out the Necrolord DH ability on the beta and kind of hate it) so I'm wondering if I just want to level a character who's likely to go Night Fae or Necrolords just so I can actually see those experiences.

Of course, my sense is that Kyrian and Venthyr are actually the top covenants for a lot of specs.

The alt-spec thing is a bit of a concern, although it currently kind of helps me justify what might be an un-optimized pick for my Death Knight - Blood and Venthyr go well together (and shouldn't they, thematically?) And I genuinely like using the Venthyr ability (Swarming Mist, which does aoe damage around you for a few seconds, increases your dodge chance, and gives you Runic Power when it does damage) even if it's perhaps not quite tuned as well as some others. (I'll actually admit that I'm getting used to once again actually using Death and Decay as a Frost Death Knight, but I also think that the Night Fae are possibly the least Death-Knight-y of the covenants.)

Blizzard is taking a risk here, creating a major tension between player power and the preferred story/aesthetic they wish to play with. Naturally, I'm sure all the hardcore raiders will go with the best simmed covenant regardless of aesthetic, but I also think that the vast majority of players will probably be ok. I mean, my DK is doing respectable damage so far, often topping the damage meter in boss fights (though I'd love for him to actually get some freaking gear drops.)